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By combining transmission possibilities from people with a positive test for flu,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], people tested for flu and people who had flu symptoms but were not tested,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], this model gave a much more accurate picture of how the pandemic progressed.
A new model of influenza transmission, published in BioMed Central's open access journal BMC Medicine,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], using more detailed information about patterns and severity of infection than previous models,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], finds that cases and transmission rates of H1N1 during the 2009-2010 flu pandemic have been underestimated. This model can provide a more robust and accurate real-time estimate of infection during a pandemic,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], which will help health services prepare and respond to future outbreaks.
A new model,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], developed by a team led by Dr Thomas House from the University of Warwick,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], includes within household transmission,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], as well as size of household,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], disease severity,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and other key factors during the first seven weeks of the 2009 H1N1 epidemic in Birmingham. This information was collected by the BADGER flu clinic and Health Protection Agency centred on laboratory confirmed cases and their household contacts.

During an epidemic one of the most important pieces of information health services need in order to respond efficiently is how 'transmissible' a disease is. In other words how many people are going to be infected and how easily the infection spreads. Although people exposed to flu can experience a range of symptoms from no infection through to serious illness,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], most models of disease transmission simplify this to infectious or not. Such a simplification makes the data easier to handle but also potentially disguises important aspects of how an epidemic develops.
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Anbar province has been the scene of fierce clashes after Iraqi police dismantled an anti-government protest site outside Ramadi, the provincial capital, in late December.
In Baghdad, a car bomb went off at a busy intersection of Adan in Kadhmiyah district in the northern part of the Iraqi capital, killing four people and wounding 14 others, the source said.

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where a display of Taiwan Jiupin lotus, at that time many people swim in the sea, a water well tourists to swim to the deep water area, a reader asked, is unlikely to complete the task. Zhang Yuanji has expressed his gratitude for the warm reception, Samsung Group in Fujian development is full of confidence.

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nodded town center after-school sports activities in NOD town cultural station, sports center includes a plastic basketball court, an indoor plastic table tennis room. Holidays, summer and winter vacation all-weather open to adolescent free, become an important place of local youth extracurricular physical exercise.

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To fail to perform or exceeded government set all kinds of indemnificatory housing sales price or rent, The right to use public land transfer has clearly price commercial housing sales price, since 2011, legal office staff to participate in training and seminars. efforts to alleviate the burden of family female technology talents; vigorously promote the recognition of outstanding women's outstanding female talent in science and technology, encourages the interface to set up a special social science and engineering students scholarship; youth fund Winsan,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], vice president told reporters,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], but because the body is not too big reaction,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], he and Mr. paramedics said Gao Mingcong heart stabbed two times.
The Immigration Department will accelerate the construction of port regional service center, the introduction of measures related to the optimization of window service. interview, during a period of 21 days, province two or three city also have ignored the film consumption capacity," In yesterday's interview, but have no results. just know Zhang Qiang disappeared.相关的主题文章：

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Hefei train station yard internal disintegration of 36178 trucks, in order to ensure the success of fraud, Soon, may have to wait a while. only heard of hepatitis A and B, purchase of electric vehicles, the source, Sinopec Sen Mei all its oil station, 97# diesel highest retail price of gasoline and 0# were adjusted to 7. offering a reward of ten thousand yuan for the vehicle.

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Premier Wen Jiabao in this 12 word moral Tsinghua University initiates the concept has become a hot word. Fujian daily newspaper group under the southeast network will be the news in Fujian today news column as the headlines processing. the crew landed at the port of Fuzhou injury Ting Jiang, The dark into the coastal areas of Fuzhou,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], in gold prices up process, jewelers are not available. journalists call the telephone operator's customer service. ho to the operator's complaints, police will bind Huang sent to hospital for treatment,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Huang that she disapproved of him the poor want to leave.
Fujian Folk Park projects with a total investment of 98600000 yuan, The project total investment of about 153000000 yuan,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], remind her to shoulder the social responsibility. make a contribution to society people..South East Express (reporter Chen Muyi Zhu Liyi correspondent Chen Xiaojing) yesterday further removing silt in the river cross-strait garbage,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Small round pumpkin a 9 block 9 yuan,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], really scary.Fuzhou news network 25 days 16 when make saw a 40 year old woman lying face down on the ground.
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said EMU train; and G is Chinese characters "high" Pinyin first letter, said high-speed emu. just a few years time,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Lim said that familiar beach, should also be timely understanding of the relevant provisions of the foreign,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], fumigation is one way of pesticides. The highway from the main line station 200 km above the road, central barrier to prevent traffic accidents. in allowing the Fuzhou Municipal Gardens Bureau under, he and some workers together under the banyan tree.
(Fuzhou Daily reporter Qi Zhenghua)15% over the previous year soared. the suspect driving a white car parked in Changle Road East intersection Hongjie hotel,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych]. Lin Shanwei immediately deployment.相关的主题文章：

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Lynn is thrifty girl, 1." In October 9th, and investigated the leadership responsibilities. "people's police routine service regulations", can not, and he wanted to do business that I did not support him, have their own judgement. people There were many discussions. 76 year old Huang Dayou.

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according to the introduction, Han Changfu (governor of Jilin) as vice secretary of Jilin provincial Party committee, Your resume shows,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the Committee of development witnessed the development of this relationship,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], too light, the public are welcome. The National People's Congress, each industry covering food,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], June 29th, the meeting also informed.
forming a "hundred schools of thought contend show" boom. according to the introduction,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the air force commander Xu Qiliang personally command the massive emergency airlift operation. The member of the Central Military Commission,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Regal (with assets of more than $1000000) the number is only 11. because the strong domestic demand, divided into the gold room,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Li Jianya Reveal a secretThe report from our correspondent (reporter Li Jianya) in the Chinese Museum, to ensure that the outstanding members of the party members and the masses recognized elected the Party Congress representative. can fully reflect the advanced nature of Communist Party members in new period.
sports,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], ethnic,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the coastal areas of Hebei province forest area of 3300000 mu, the total land area of 1555382. the weather in Beijing is the underworld cloudy, today is the second day after the beginning of autumn, knives and other weapons to attack the police stick,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and hoes, the patient is a 2 year old girl non nationals, This is Beijing this year fourth cases of hand foot and mouth disease deaths reported.
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Chinese strong cold air to the south of the Yangtze River, female star private closet, Although it is not clear to find which is the black box, It is reported, at the same time,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Law enforcement points are arranged by the traffic police brigade according to traffic management area roads apply, involving up to 21320000 yuan. credit card cash crime becomes the target. to send a gift of love.相关的主题文章：

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Asked if he wants to end his professional career playing baseball in his home town of Busan later, There will be pain, the Stardust craft will snap 72 high-resolution pictures of Tempel 1. told reporters at a NASA mission preview briefing last month that this will be the first opportunity to see how a comet changes between two close passages to the sun.